![]() In fact, in case the superior technology becomes dominant early on, societal costs are reduced. It is important to note that premature technological lock-in is not per se economically inefficient. An example is the carbon lock-in of the current energy system which not only is the main source of climate change but also leaves the economy vulnerable to fossil-fuel price shocks, such as the 1970s oil crises (Unruh 2000, 2002). Second, premature technological lock-in, all else equal, inherently reduces long-term diversity and hence the resilience of the energy system against external shocks (van den Bergh et al 2006, Stirling 2010). As predicting future learning curves of early-stage technologies is difficult, encouraging technological diversity is regarded a viable alternative to achieve long-term economic efficiency (Arthur 1989, Sandén and Azar 2005, del Río González 2008, Schmidt et al 2016). Thus, long-term economic cost of deployment would be higher because faster learning technologies would not have been deployed in their early stage. These arise from locking out technologies which, though more expensive at the outset, would offer superior learning rates. First, it can result in long-term inefficiencies (Schmidt et al 2016). Lock-in may be undesirable in early-stage technologies for two reasons. For novel technologies, the early phase of market deployment is pivotal to drive down their learning curve and thus determining their future competitiveness with other technologies (Hoppmann et al 2013). This phenomenon arises from self-reinforcing and path-dependent processes which reduce the cost of the adopted technology, such as economies of scale, learning-by-doing, learning-by-using, and network externalities, and hence give it a sustained advantage over competing technologies (Dosi 1982, David 1985, Arthur 1989, Sandén and Azar 2005, van den Bergh 2008). ![]() Yet deployment policies may drive unintended and premature technological lock-in, a situation where one technology is almost exclusively selected at the expense of other technologies (Unruh 2000, Zeppini and van den Bergh 2011, Battke et al 2016). Technology deployment policies are also important for new technologies necessary for the deep decarbonisation of energy systems, such as battery storage (Trancik 2014, Landry and Gagnon 2015, Malhotra et al 2016). As a result, today, solar PV is cost competitive with conventional technologies in many markets (Creutzig et al 2017). Solar photovoltaics (PV), for instance, has experienced a steep increase in global deployment to 300 GW in 2016 (REN21 2017) and a sharp decrease in cost of over 99% in the past four decades (Trancik et al 2015). Deployment policies have been crucial in triggering capacity additions and thus inducing technological learning and cost reductions, particularly for renewable energy technologies (del Río González 2008, Fouquet and Johansson 2008, Couture and Gagnon 2010, Huenteler et al 2016). Besides carbon pricing and R&D support, technology deployment policies play a central role in inducing such transitions by addressing market failures associated with learning by doing (Sandén and Azar 2005, van Benthem et al 2008, van den Bergh 2013, Bertram et al 2015). To avoid this, policymakers can leverage the fact that different technologies are competitive in different applications and, by designing application-specific deployment policies, effectively offer a level playing field for competing technologies.Ĭlimate change mitigation requires a technological transition of our energy systems (IPCC 2014, Erickson et al 2015). Policies that fail to consider these effects can unintendedly lock in or lock out technologies. Our results show that both features are highly important in technology selection and that spillover effects between applications exist. We focus on Germany's solar photovoltaics feed-in tariff policy between 20 and analyse two design features, technology specificity and application specificity. Here we develop an empirically calibrated agent-based model to analyse how deployment policy design influences which technologies are selected by investors. Yet deployment policies may drive unintended and premature lock-in of currently leading technologies. Technology deployment policies can play a key role in bringing early-stage energy technologies to the market and reducing their cost along their learning curves.
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Total operating costs for Q2, excluding the $200K of pre-opening costs, were $4.3 million. ![]() Even worse, costs were enormous in the quarter. Kaufmann's review which revealed DS may be behind Topgolf in the food and beverage and events categories. This was something I had warned about given Mr. On top of that only 40,000 visitors came to the facility and the average spend per visitor was only $44. In fact, in Q2 the Orlando facility posted just ~$1.8 million in revenue. Thus far these estimates have been far from reality. This is important because management uses these figures time and again to value the business as they have placed the utmost importance on this new entertainment golf model. Given the venue's performance after their first quarter in operation in Q2 2018, I felt their estimates were well off. The Entertainment Golf Business Is Still Strugglingīack in my Q2 2018 analysis, I questioned Drive Shack management's estimates for revenues, earnings and costs in their new entertainment golf facility in Orlando. I will be keeping my eye on Drive Shack going forward in hopes the new CEO, Ken May, can turn things around, however, at this point DS is simply not worth the risk. 2019's annual report and the first two quarterly reports of 2020 will be telling for DS as the three new upcoming venues will determine the viability of the new business model once and for all. With these two possible futures and the continued failings of DS's Orlando facility in mind, I am reiterating my Sell rating for the company. The second, I believe the more likely future is DS continues to struggle to reach their lofty expectations for revenue and EBITDA margins, debt piles up, the recession hits and Drive Shack faces pressure at their new facilities as visitor numbers plummet causing the stock price to fall. Orlando lead to prosperity in-spite of overall global market conditions. In this future, the strong underlying market conditions for the golf business and superior location vs. ![]() The business thrives even in what may be a struggling economy in 2020 and beyond because it has the cash and now the expertise with the new CEO to prosper. One, where the high margins and lower cyclicality that management anticipated from the new entertainment golf business, but have not yet been seen or proven, come to fruition. Thus far, results have been lacking and the stock has struggled as a result.Īs of now, DS lays on the precipice of two possible futures in my view. The long and short of it is as follows, DS is in the process of transforming from a traditional golf course business with owned courses to an entertainment golf business that may manage or own only a limited number of traditional golf courses.ĭue to this transition, the new entertainment golf venues are of utmost importance to Drive Shack and investors. If you're unfamiliar with Drive Shack's story I suggest briefly skimming those pieces for context. Then in a follow-up after Q2 2018's results led to falling share prices I wrote, Drive Shack: A Rough Q2 Earnings Release, in which I outlined the slow start of DS's new Orlando entertainment golf facility. In that piece, I came to the conclusion that the young company wasn't a strong investment opportunity given its unproven new business model, relatively young and inexperienced CEO (at the time), and rich valuation (at the time). I first discussed Drive Shack ( DS) and its rather convoluted formation into what is today mainly an entertainment golf business back on Jin an article entitled, Drive Shack: Can the Model Succeed. Supported OS: Windows 11, Windows 10, Windows 8.Technical Details and System Requirements Send the video to SDI (coaxial cable) or your network (Ethernet).Control ProPresenter’s functions from MIDI, DMX, or broadcast video.Control multiple ProPresenter machines from a single computer.Project onto wide screens with multiple projectors and blend their edges to create one seamless, extra-wide image.ProPresenter 6 is a professional application for live video presentations in schools, concerts, lectures, and other areas. It provides a sleeker user interface with self-explaining options that allows the users to effortlessly work with different types of demonstrations. Start out at the ProPresenter 6 System Requirements and check system requirements before you do anything else. Output Broadcast-quality key and fill channels. Download ProPresenter 6.3 for Mac free latest full version offline setup. Create video events, ProPresenter 6.4 comes with a professional set of tools for preparing the live video presentations for various purposes. ![]() Output to multiple displays with different combinations of content all at once, including multiple-stage displays. ![]() Minimum operating system requirements: Mac OS X 10.12. It is indispensable for worship gatherings, sporting events, conferences, trade shows, and studio broadcasts.įurthermore, ProPresenter Cloud enables you to synchronize an unlimited number of machines over the Internet, providing a workflow to edit on one machine and present on another, allowing you to easily share your presentations and media across your entire organization seamlessly. Download ProPresenter for Mac and you will be able to produce live events, carry out your own broadcasts and multimedia productions thanks to ProPresenter. Finding a Windows device that does is tougher. ![]() Finding a Mac that works with ProPresenter is easy. In most cases, you are right, but not in the case of ProPresenter 6 for Windows. It seamlessly displays lyrics, slides, and media, making high-quality live productions easy. Propresenter 7 system requirements If your church uses ProPresenter, you may be wondering about the best computer system. Free Download ProPresenter full version standalone offline installer for Windows is a cross-platform (Mac and Windows) presentation & production application for live events. 3 years ago Updated Follow ProPresenter will run on most any well equipped machine that meets current operating system specifications from Apple or Microsoft. ![]() However, the Comanche dub allows Prey to be closer to its original version, meaning that the dub is the best way to watch it. PREY FILM LIMITED - Free company information from Companies House including registered office address, filing history, accounts, annual return, officers. ![]() In an interview with Digital Spy, Prey producer Jhane Myers says " Originally, when the film was written, the first script I had, across the top it said 'All dialogue in Comanche', and I was like, 'Oh my God, yes'." While this language would've probably made Prey much better than its predecessors, this idea was sadly scrapped when Disney bought out Fox. On top of cultural reasons, the Comanche version should also be watched because it is the way the film's creators intended it to be seen. ![]() Prey is one of the very few films that has been dubbed in an Indigenous language, so watching the dub is a way to show respect to the culture the film is trying to represent. It stars Logan Miller and Kristine Froseth. Watching the film in Comanche not only allows the viewer to be more immersed in the film but also helps paint a complete picture of the Comanche setting. Prey is a 2019 American horror film directed by Franck Khalfoun and written by David Coggeshall and Khalfoun. Firstly, the Comanche setting in the Prey movie Comanche setting is core to the film, with much of the film being dedicated to honoring the culture of the Comanche people. We've got the full-length trailer for Prey below, which has Amber Midthunder's young hunter squaring off against the Predator.There are many reasons that Prey should be watched in Comanche. The prey she stalks, and ultimately confronts, turns out to be a highly evolved alien predator with a technically advanced arsenal, resulting in a vicious and terrifying showdown between the two adversaries."įind out all you need to know about the Prey ending right here. So when danger threatens her camp, she sets out to protect her people. It is the story of a young woman, Naru, a fierce and highly skilled warrior who has been raised in the shadow of some of the most legendary hunters who roam the Great Plains. Prey will be live on Disney + on August 5 in the UK and across most other international Disney+ markets. "The newest entry in the Predator franchise, 20th Century Studios’ Prey is an all-new action thriller set in the Comanche Nation 300 years ago. ![]() What makes Prey unique is that it is taking things back a ways. Showcase and Showcase Cinema de Lux are owned and operated by National Amusements, Inc., a world leader in the motion picture exhibition industry operating 816. The film is the last directed by Miller before his death in February 2023. Miller (though credited to Oscar DRoccster), written by Miller and starring former Neighbours actress and Rogue Traders lead singer Natalie Bassingthwaighte, and American Jesse Johnson. Plots for the Predator movies all have the base concept set pretty much in stone: an intergalactic hunter decides to hunt humans for sport. Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn), also marketed as Harley Quinn: Birds of Prey, is an action/comedy superhero film based on the comic book characters of the same name, and the eighth installment in the DC Extended Universe. Prey is a 2009 Australian supernatural horror film directed by George T. As a symbol, Bergqvist presented Lfgren with a heart-shaped ring she had made. (Image credit: 20th Century Studios) What is the Prey plot? Predator prey film 2022 shirt, hoodie, tank top, sweater and long sleeve t-shirt. ![]() Relocate the container to a bright, but cooler place 65 degree F days, with night temperatures anywhere from 55 to 65 degrees F. ![]()
butter 1 medium onion, chopped 4 eggs 2 cups fresh or frozen broccoli (thawed), chopped 1 cup cottage cheese 1/4 cup milk Directions. Use a paring knife to remove each muffin, flipping it to reveal the caramelized pineapple before placing on a plate. Ingredients 2 (7. JIFFY Vegetarian Corn Muffin Mix or 2 pkgs. Evenly divide the cornbread mixture among the muffin cups, filling each three-quarters of the way full.īake for 15 minutes. Stir in the egg, then add the flour, granulated sugar, baking powder, kosher salt and baking soda and mix until just incorporated.Īdd 2 to 3 pieces of the pineapple to the bottom of each muffin cup. Whisk in the buttermilk, stirring until smooth. Add the pineapple, stir to coat and cook until the liquid has nearly evaporated and the caramel has deepened in color, about 7 minutes.įor the muffins: Meanwhile, working quickly, whisk the boiling water into the cornmeal in a large bowl until you get a stiff mash. Grease a 12-cup muffin pan with cooking spray.Ĭombine the brown sugar, butter, allspice, kosher salt and cinnamon in a skillet over medium-low heat and cook until bubbling. Beat the eggs and oil with a wooden spoon until well combined. ![]() In separate bowl, beat eggs and stir into casserole. Pour butter, both kinds of corn, sour cream and eggs into a large bowl. JIFFY Corn Muffin Mix 1/2 cup margarine or butter, melted 1 can (83/4 oz) whole kernel corn, drained 1 can (81/4 oz) cream style corn 1 cup sour cream 2 eggs Pour margarine or butter and corn into 10 round ungreased microwave safe dish. Mix well and transfer the batter into the prepared pan or cast-iron skillet. Coat a 13- x 9-inch baking dish with nonstick cooking spray. 1 cup sour cream (8 ounces) 1/2 cup butter, melted (1 stick, 4 ounces) 2 eggs (large) Directions: Preheat the oven to 375° and lightly grease a 1 ½ 2 quart casserole dish with butter. ![]() For the pineapple: Preheat the oven to 450 degrees F. In a large mixing bowl, add 17 ounces of Jiffy corn muffin mix, 3 large eggs, ¾ cup buttermilk, ½ cup sour cream, 4 ounces diced jalapeños, ¼ cup diced red bell pepper, ¼ cup butter, and 1 cup grated cheddar cheese (optional). ![]() Or if the front sensor reports that we are driving into a slower car, the recuperation brake decelerates us to its speed early on. If, for example, the navigation system reveals that it is about to go downhill, it drains the battery on the incline. In order to exhaust the savings potential, it is best to switch to 'Auto-E-Drive' (BMW) or 'Hybrid' (Mercedes) and leave the operating strategy to the computer brains, which put together the optimal drive mix depending on the route, inclines and traffic /p> BMW X5 more economical than the GLEįirst suck the battery empty and then manually click on the combustion engine, but that is not the smartest solution - even if the rolling Kosmos experiment kits to play with Animate types of energy. Real electric car feelings do not arise in the Benz either.ĭespite the huge battery in the trunk, the GLE only travels 17 kilometers. The Mercedes even only traveled 17 kilometers, after all, its powerful three-liter V6 helps it to accelerate even with an empty battery. BMW specifies a range of 31 kilometers, but the test on our leisurely electric circuit with some inclines was over after 20 kilometers. With a battery charge of just two percent, it takes 8.6 seconds to reach 100 km /h, at higher speeds the giant feels increasingly limp.Īnd the battery drainsamazingly fast. At least if the battery is not completely empty. Even if our test car just missed the factory specification for the standard sprint to 100 km /h (6.8 seconds), its power is still enough for a bustling temperament. BMW does not have an X5 40i in its range, but the hybrid outperforms the most powerful six-cylinder petrol in the 35i by 7 hp. With the BMW, however, 40e stands for 245 four-cylinder hp and an electric motor also housed in the gearbox, which contributes a further 113 hp. BMW with full battery in 6.8 seconds to 100 km Together, the two boost each other to 442 hp and 650 Nm and thus on par with the eight-cylinder. ![]() In contrast to the conventional 500 with V8, Mercedes uses a charged six-cylinder with 333 hp for the part-time electrician, which is supported by a 116 hp electric motor in the transmission housing. Well, let's do the fact check on the BMW X5 40e and its Swabian soul mate, the Mercedes GLE 500 e. ![]() ![]() He is one of the leaders of a subculture-emblematic of our larger culture-where people are obsessed with hacks in the name of productivity. (For example, Tim Ferriss famously became a world champion kickboxer, despite not knowing how to kickbox, because he exploited a loophole in the rules. However, I do begrudge Tim Ferriss one thing: he is arguably one of the most famous and successful proponents of "hacks." In the purest sense, a hack is a way of being more efficient, but what it usually comes across as is a shortcut. "įrom his podcast and some parts of his books, I think that Tim Ferriss is a rather deep thinker and thoughtful person generally. On his podcast, his most ubiquitous media property, Tim Ferriss starts most (or maybe all episodes) by saying something close to, " welcome to the Tim Ferriss show, where it is my job to deconstruct world class performers to tease out the routines, habits etc. The 4-Hour Workweek was a great book, and Tim Ferriss is someone I still follow and look up to. The tagline for that book was, " The 4-Hour Workweek is a new way of solving a very old problem: just how can we work to live and prevent our lives from being all about work? " (Sound familiar?) Tim Ferriss, with his book The Four Hour Work-Week, was one of the first high profile people to advocate for a lot of the things digital nomads aimed for. There were a lot of trends that emerged form this movement which persist to today. They then lived off their laptops doing online or gig work, usually in places their western currency went really far, like South America, East Asia, or Eastern Europe.Īutomation, remote work, consistent travel, entrepreneurship, being a brand, prioritizing experiences over possessions, grinding (sometimes), prioritizing mental health over the grind (other times). They had taken the lemons handed to them by the 2008 financial crisis, inescapable student debt, and inevitability of boomeranging back to mom and dad's house, and turned it into the lemonade of digital nomadhood. College graduates raised on the internet looked around, collectively said, "fuck this," and got jobs they could work from anywhere. Many smart, capable young people felt they had been sold a bill of goods about what college would get them. An implosion in the job market, a dearth of affordable credit for houses, and an average student loan debt higher than ever before meant that the safe, cushy, lifelong jobs people had expected to come after college since the baby boom just did not exist any more. Already back then, there was an explosion of people, mostly millennials, who had what I called lemonade lifestyles. ![]() I was pretty prejudiced going into reading the book. Beyond that, the book serves as the most recent interest development in a centuries long debate about how to decide what to do with your life. On its own, the book has a wide range of interesting and useful ideas to offer concerning careers, the nature of work, leisure, society, and how we measure our lives. Through summary, review, context, and memoir, I want to make the case that the book, The Pathless Path by Paul Millerd, is immensely important because of both its content and its context. Luckily, I was completely wrong. The author pulls a lovely bait and switch: it’s not really a book about careers at all. The vagueness of the marketing materials, uniform positivity of the reviews, and my familiarity with the subject matter made me explicitly skeptical that I would enjoy the book, and subtly skeptical that I could learn anything from the book at all. The descriptions and blurbs I could find were somewhat vague, like this one from Amazon, “ The Pathless Path is about finding yourself in the wrong life, and the real work of figuring out how to live.” It seemed like the book was about picking the right career, a topic about which my own job search and years of teaching at a university have made me an armchair expert. Last month on Twitter, several people I consider smart, unconventional thinkers recommended a new book by an author I had never heard of. ![]() pluto square ascendant pluto conjunct icīig 3 analysis = $15 this analysis consists of reading and analyzing your sun, moon, and rising. but the good thing is you’re prepared to deal with adversity and you don’t shy away from problems - you’re a great problem-solver. ![]() there is often an extremist approach to life that causes the person a lot of problems, whether in relationships or career or just generally that’s because with squares it can be difficult to use talents in the most efficient way. for example, you might be very persuasive but you struggle to get your points across in a way that is welcomed + you might meet some opposition etc. this placement can definitely be intense and gives the native a lot of potential to influence others, but there’s often a struggle to reach this potential. ![]() even if you don’t feel mesmerizing, people who you let into your private life will probably find you to be mesmerizing. The square aspect itself gives the individual a lot of drive or desire to improve. you learned a lot from situations related to the 3rd/4th house and because of the chiron conjunction, you have great healing power. you probably learned to be very wary of authority or kept a close eye on those with influence. this placement could point to early trauma or an intense/secretive childhood where you isolated yourself (especially since it’s conjunct chiron) but on the other end it could point to someone who learned to be resourceful, self-sufficient or observant from a young age. it could suggest you found the adult figures around you to be domineering, controlling or prone to worry, maybe even obsessive. If it’s conjunct IC it might have more to do with past/early relationships (parents, mentors, authority figures etc) than like current relationships for example although it can definitely seep into those if the associated issues are not addressed. I might have this placement too! (i say might bc i don’t know my *exact* birth time) Pluto ascendant aspects pluto conjunct ascendant pluto square ascendant pluto opposite ascendant Probably has some introverted tendencies.Will considerably darken any lighthearted rising.Might be very controlling, losing and dealing with control in others will be a very big thing with them.Intimidating af, especially the hard aspects or with Saturn touching the ascendant.Pluto+Uranus+neptune on the ascendant major indicator of beauty.People with the harder aspects or trine may appear confident.Probably has a thing for tattoos or piercings or oddly colored hair.Definitely the type to change up their appearance when going through changes or hardships.Hates superficiality, probably doesnt like small talk.The square and oppositions usually have no idea how they affect people.People with the trine are said to be great therapist due to their blessed ability to read people.Reads people pretty easily, those this is usually with the smoother aspects.Probably enjoys making people uncomfortable.If Pluto touches the ascendant and the mc, probably means you have a torrid reputation but also heightens people’s obsession with you and sex appeal.Great and powerful leaders, though usually equally hated as loved.Even if you have alot of Venus or Neptune aspects to your ascendant, a hard pluto aspect will loom over it and darken it. ![]() Is usually very talked about…probably related to taboo topics.Probably obsessed with their appearance…depending on its aspects could be a good or bad thing.Those with hard/pluto ascendant aspects tend to have stalkers especially if it touches venus or the 7th house.Young kids with hard pluto aspects tend to make adults uncomfortable…usually due to their expression of sexuality.The square will be the most offputting and intense when it comes to first impressions.Very hard to ignore, stands out very easily in a crowd.People with the opposition and conjunction change the most physically.People with the opposition may find people think they’re annoying or something is off with them.If you find yourself mesmerized by someone’s eyes they probably have Pluto or Neptune on the ascendant Pluto conjunct ascendant will love getting under people’s skin.Pluto square ascendant has a magnetic and over abundant sex appeal.People either hate them entirely or adore them While most astrologers will say people with pluto/ascendant aspects are intense, those with the opposition or trine will appear much more mellow than the square or conjunction, and might just come off as quirky or weird than intense. ![]() The MegaMat Duo inflates itself in about 15 minutes. Its comfort and modest packing volume also make it ideal for use as a guest bed at home. Due to the foam used and the stretch cover, it offers unprecedented stability for two persons and it contours very well to your hips and shoulders. This property, in combination with the luxurious thickness of 10 cm, the stretch tricot top layer and the effortless inflation, makes the mat synonymous with comfort. The MegaMat Duo 10 is a self-inflating, straight-walled 3D mat with a flat sleeping surface from edge to edge. This very comfortable double sleeping mat can also be used in the Model 3 and any other car that is wide enough between the wheel wells. Transform the Tesla Model X and Model Y into the executive suite of a four-star hotel with the Exped MegaMat Duo 10 TXY. Use as sender address: Stoutenburg - 3836 - The Netherlands. For a precise delivery time indication, you can use the UPS Calculator on the UPS website. ![]() In the case of an remote area such as a ski village, in some cases you have to add 1-3 business days.There is no delivery or shipping on national holidays.If you place an order for multiple products with different delivery time indications, the delivery time indication of the product with the longest delivery time applies.Busy periods include Mondays, Black Friday, the week before Christmas break and the week before spring break. In some cases, shipping may take 1-2 business days longer depending on how busy it is. If you order skis including bindings that need to be mounted, we will do everything we can to mount your skis the same day.Our experience is that in 95% of cases the package is delivered on the predicted day. We can therefore not give a 100% guarantee about the delivery day. For delivery we depend on our transport partners.DHL Express takes 1-3 business days to all major EU cities. Next business day delivery can not be guaranteed to ‘remote’ locations like rural areas, ski resorts and islands. Orders must be placed on business days before 16:00 CE(S)T and delivery only takes place on business days. UPS Express guarantees next business day delivery to all major EU cities. Packages up to 170 cm can be delivered to a parcel point. For a indication please check our delivery information page. Orders placed in the weekend will ship on Monday*Īn estimated delivery date will be shown in the checkout.Orders placed before 16:00 CE(S)T ship the same day*. |
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